Minority Report

Humacao Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Humacao Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 77°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 49%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°40%
US model (GFS)86°79°42%
European model (ECMWF)88°77°99%
German model (ICON)88°76°33%
Canadian model (GEM)88°74°33%
The average87°77°49%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 78°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 60%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°77°40%
US model (GFS)85°80°30%
European model (ECMWF)86°77°100%
German model (ICON)88°79°33%
Canadian model (GEM)85°77°95%
The average86°78°60%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 78°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°77°50%
US model (GFS)85°80°26%
European model (ECMWF)85°77°100%
German model (ICON)88°81°28%
Canadian model (GEM)86°76°93%
The average86°78°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 76°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 14%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°76°8%
US model (GFS)85°78°3%
European model (ECMWF)84°76°16%
German model (ICON)89°76°30%
Canadian model (GEM)86°74°14%
The average87°76°14%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.