Minority Report

Huntsville, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)59°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average48°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°34°4%
US model (GFS)53°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)51°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°21°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°25°0%
The average52°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 28%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°25%
US model (GFS)56°37°26%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°22%
German model (ICON)54°32°24%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°43%
The average52°36°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.