Minority Report

Hurley, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Iron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 33°   Low 29°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 71%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°43%
US model (GFS)33°30°22%
European model (ECMWF)33°30°96%
German model (ICON)33°31°98%
Canadian model (GEM)32°30°96%
The average33°29°71%

Friday, November 13

High 33°   Low 28°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°25°44%
US model (GFS)31°29°25%
European model (ECMWF)33°29°88%
German model (ICON)33°30°63%
Canadian model (GEM)31°27°38%
The average33°28°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°22°0%
US model (GFS)38°26°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°27°0%
German model (ICON)37°29°5%
Canadian model (GEM)36°21°6%
The average37°25°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°23°0%
US model (GFS)44°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°26°0%
German model (ICON)43°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°19°0%
The average43°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.