Minority Report

Hutchinson, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Reno County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)59°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)59°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°37°0%
The average59°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°1%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average51°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°30%
US model (GFS)48°30°13%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°26%
German model (ICON)52°29°13%
Canadian model (GEM)50°29°51%
The average50°32°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 51%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°41%
US model (GFS)46°40°35%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°51%
German model (ICON)47°39°40%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°86%
The average46°38°51%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.