Minority Report

Hyde Park, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lamoille County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 30%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°16%
US model (GFS)43°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°73%
German model (ICON)42°33°15%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°33%
The average42°31°30%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 28°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°22°24%
US model (GFS)38°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)38°30°8%
Canadian model (GEM)38°26°10%
The average39°28°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°24°71%
US model (GFS)37°33°69%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°90%
German model (ICON)37°34°80%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°100%
The average38°31°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 57%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°24°56%
US model (GFS)36°33°56%
European model (ECMWF)39°33°24%
German model (ICON)38°34°55%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°95%
The average39°32°57%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.