Minority Report

Hyden, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Leslie County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°41%
US model (GFS)54°44°85%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°100%
German model (ICON)57°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°44°100%
The average56°43°85%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 81%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°71%
US model (GFS)44°35°62%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°97%
German model (ICON)45°39°85%
Canadian model (GEM)44°40°90%
The average44°36°81%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°17%
US model (GFS)45°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°34%
German model (ICON)44°36°55%
Canadian model (GEM)42°30°48%
The average44°32°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.