Minority Report

Idabel, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McCurtain County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)74°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°48°0%
German model (ICON)73°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°0%
The average73°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°1%
US model (GFS)63°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°0%
German model (ICON)60°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°0%
The average62°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°41°25%
US model (GFS)59°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)56°39°12%
German model (ICON)57°35°13%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°0%
The average57°39°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°41°80%
US model (GFS)49°43°74%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°88%
German model (ICON)46°41°80%
Canadian model (GEM)48°42°91%
The average49°42°83%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.