Minority Report

Idaho City, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Boise County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)68°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°32°0%
German model (ICON)66°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°0%
The average66°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 40°   Rain 97%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°33°98%
US model (GFS)62°44°97%
European model (ECMWF)60°33°94%
German model (ICON)62°48°98%
Canadian model (GEM)63°43°100%
The average62°40°97%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°32%
US model (GFS)44°37°96%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°100%
German model (ICON)48°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°34°100%
The average48°34°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°29°63%
US model (GFS)53°37°7%
European model (ECMWF)56°31°14%
German model (ICON)55°40°53%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°14%
The average56°34°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.