Minority Report

Idaho Falls, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bonneville County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)58°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°29°0%
German model (ICON)56°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°30°0%
The average57°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 34°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°39°71%
US model (GFS)60°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°10%
German model (ICON)60°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)59°34°5%
The average60°34°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 73%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°71%
US model (GFS)48°36°69%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°78%
German model (ICON)47°36°85%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°63%
The average47°35°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°22°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.