Independence, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grayson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 53° Low 38° Rain 42%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 37° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 39° | 68% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 39° | 43% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 40° | 21% |
| The average | 53° | 38° | 42% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 24%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 34° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 24% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 30° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 27° | 10% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 7% |
High 43° Low 28° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 25° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 28° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.