Minority Report

Indiana, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Indiana County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°39%
US model (GFS)48°39°86%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°100%
German model (ICON)47°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)50°39°100%
The average48°38°85%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 45%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°24%
US model (GFS)39°32°12%
European model (ECMWF)41°32°41%
German model (ICON)41°32°80%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°66%
The average41°32°45%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 89% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°49%
US model (GFS)39°32°65%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°67%
German model (ICON)40°32°65%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°89%
The average40°32°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 53%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°32%
US model (GFS)42°36°65%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°43%
German model (ICON)43°38°38%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°88%
The average43°35°53%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.