Minority Report

Inyo County, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Inyo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°1%
US model (GFS)60°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°45°0%
German model (ICON)64°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°43°0%
The average63°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 17%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°40°15%
US model (GFS)56°44°7%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°59%
German model (ICON)59°46°5%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°0%
The average56°43°17%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 9%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°1%
US model (GFS)51°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)56°35°30%
German model (ICON)56°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°14%
The average54°39°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°1%
US model (GFS)52°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average54°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.