Minority Report

Iola, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)56°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average55°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)45°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average47°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°4%
US model (GFS)51°25°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°20°0%
The average51°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°13%
US model (GFS)54°39°11%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°6%
German model (ICON)53°34°14%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°19%
The average52°34°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.