Minority Report

Iron Mountain, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dickinson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 39%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°35%
US model (GFS)37°29°18%
European model (ECMWF)38°32°7%
German model (ICON)37°30°93%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°43%
The average37°30°39%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°31°42%
US model (GFS)37°29°6%
European model (ECMWF)37°31°10%
German model (ICON)37°30°63%
Canadian model (GEM)34°30°48%
The average36°30°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°24°0%
US model (GFS)39°29°7%
European model (ECMWF)42°28°0%
German model (ICON)40°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°25°0%
The average40°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°22°0%
The average44°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.