Minority Report

Ironton, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 42°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°50%
US model (GFS)53°43°93%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°100%
German model (ICON)53°43°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°44°99%
The average54°42°88%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°32%
US model (GFS)47°37°43%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°86%
German model (ICON)46°37°70%
Canadian model (GEM)49°35°81%
The average48°36°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°31°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°7%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°4%
German model (ICON)45°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°14%
The average47°33°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°0%
German model (ICON)50°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°31°0%
The average49°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.