Minority Report

Isabela Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Isabela Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 74°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—74°0%
US model (GFS)91°73°100%
European model (ECMWF)90°72°91%
German model (ICON)88°76°60%
Canadian model (GEM)88°73°35%
The average89°74°57%

Friday, November 13

High 91°   Low 75°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 10%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°74°30%
US model (GFS)90°74°0%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°8%
German model (ICON)93°77°8%
Canadian model (GEM)92°74°6%
The average91°75°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 91°   Low 76°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°73°40%
US model (GFS)90°76°10%
European model (ECMWF)89°76°69%
German model (ICON)92°79°8%
Canadian model (GEM)93°76°32%
The average91°76°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 74°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 20%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°72°29%
US model (GFS)90°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)92°74°41%
German model (ICON)89°77°24%
Canadian model (GEM)86°74°5%
The average89°74°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.