Minority Report

Ithaca, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gratiot County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 89 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°11%
US model (GFS)45°36°73%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°36°95%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°100%
The average45°34°76%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°9%
US model (GFS)39°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°12%
German model (ICON)41°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°0%
The average40°31°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°0%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average44°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°35°0%
German model (ICON)44°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°0%
The average44°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.