Minority Report

Jacksboro, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Campbell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 92 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 65%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°8%
US model (GFS)56°42°46%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°100%
German model (ICON)56°45°70%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°100%
The average56°42°65%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 48%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°44%
US model (GFS)44°36°37%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°79%
German model (ICON)45°39°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°76%
The average45°36°48%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 31°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)45°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°9%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°35%
The average45°31°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.