Minority Report

Jackson, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Breathitt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 85%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°40%
US model (GFS)55°44°84%
European model (ECMWF)57°43°100%
German model (ICON)55°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°43°100%
The average56°43°85%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 70%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°65%
US model (GFS)45°34°47%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°87%
German model (ICON)45°39°83%
Canadian model (GEM)43°40°67%
The average44°36°70%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°5%
US model (GFS)46°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°7%
German model (ICON)44°36°15%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°14%
The average45°33°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average49°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.