Minority Report

Jackson, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 77%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°14%
US model (GFS)44°37°87%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°100%
German model (ICON)44°37°85%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°100%
The average44°36°77%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°12%
US model (GFS)38°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°21%
German model (ICON)40°32°30%
Canadian model (GEM)38°28°19%
The average39°30°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°1%
US model (GFS)40°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°27°0%
The average43°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°0%
German model (ICON)46°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average44°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.