Minority Report

Jackson, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Northampton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 46°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°1%
US model (GFS)69°48°16%
European model (ECMWF)70°49°20%
German model (ICON)70°48°18%
Canadian model (GEM)69°45°6%
The average69°46°12%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°5%
US model (GFS)56°41°25%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°8%
German model (ICON)57°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)59°45°0%
The average57°39°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°0%
The average53°33°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°0%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.