Minority Report

Jacksonville, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Duval County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 58°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 4 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°2%
US model (GFS)77°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°59°4%
German model (ICON)78°58°3%
Canadian model (GEM)77°59°0%
The average77°58°2%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°44°0%
US model (GFS)67°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°53°1%
German model (ICON)68°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°53°0%
The average68°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°46°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°0%
German model (ICON)61°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°0%
The average62°43°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°52°0%
US model (GFS)66°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°46°0%
German model (ICON)64°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°44°0%
The average65°47°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.