Minority Report

Jacksonville, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Onslow County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 7 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°5%
US model (GFS)75°51°7%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°6%
German model (ICON)77°52°5%
Canadian model (GEM)73°53°0%
The average75°50°5%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 43°   Rain 8%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°36°16%
US model (GFS)59°45°4%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°4%
German model (ICON)62°42°8%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°6%
The average61°43°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°4%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°12%
German model (ICON)56°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°6%
The average55°36°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°35°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)59°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°32°0%
The average56°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.