Minority Report

Jamestown, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Russell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 40°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 77 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 21% against a group average of 61%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°21%
US model (GFS)55°42°24%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°98%
German model (ICON)55°42°70%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°90%
The average55°40°61%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 33°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 57%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°64%
US model (GFS)42°33°42%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°95%
German model (ICON)43°35°30%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°52%
The average43°33°57%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°31°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°25°10%
The average46°29°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)51°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°20°0%
The average51°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.