Minority Report

Jamestown, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fentress County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°19%
US model (GFS)54°40°42%
European model (ECMWF)53°38°100%
German model (ICON)54°40°90%
Canadian model (GEM)53°39°100%
The average54°38°70%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°49%
US model (GFS)40°33°38%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°92%
German model (ICON)42°34°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°33°46%
The average41°33°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 22%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°49%
German model (ICON)45°32°15%
Canadian model (GEM)41°26°43%
The average43°29°22%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)48°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average49°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.