Minority Report

Jasper, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Newton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)62°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°38°0%
German model (ICON)62°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°0%
The average62°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average51°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°3%
US model (GFS)54°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)54°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average52°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°38°18%
US model (GFS)56°37°21%
European model (ECMWF)54°32°22%
German model (ICON)57°32°20%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°30%
The average54°35°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.