Minority Report

Jasper, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dubois County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 37°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 76 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 42%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°9%
US model (GFS)53°37°27%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°85%
Canadian model (GEM)53°36°49%
The average53°37°42%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°17%
US model (GFS)43°33°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°18%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°5%
The average44°34°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°19°0%
The average51°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.