Minority Report

Jasper, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 46%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°9%
US model (GFS)62°43°28%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°76%
German model (ICON)60°44°18%
Canadian model (GEM)60°45°100%
The average61°42°46%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)48°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°0%
German model (ICON)51°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°5%
The average49°36°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)51°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°5%
The average52°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°1%
US model (GFS)54°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°34°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°25°0%
The average55°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.