Minority Report

Jasper, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jasper County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)79°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°56°0%
German model (ICON)78°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°56°0%
The average78°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°44°0%
US model (GFS)72°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°0%
German model (ICON)70°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°0%
The average72°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 45°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°45°3%
US model (GFS)65°43°2%
European model (ECMWF)64°45°10%
German model (ICON)63°42°3%
Canadian model (GEM)65°49°0%
The average65°45°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 47°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 79%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°45°79%
US model (GFS)67°48°70%
European model (ECMWF)52°46°91%
German model (ICON)53°48°74%
Canadian model (GEM)66°48°81%
The average61°47°79%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.