Minority Report

Jayton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kent County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)76°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°46°0%
German model (ICON)74°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°41°0%
The average74°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°47°4%
US model (GFS)68°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)62°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°42°0%
The average65°47°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 47°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 86%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°49°82%
US model (GFS)64°44°80%
European model (ECMWF)56°48°99%
German model (ICON)57°49°90%
Canadian model (GEM)59°47°81%
The average59°47°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 44°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 64%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°41°25%
US model (GFS)69°48°80%
European model (ECMWF)54°46°92%
German model (ICON)55°44°65%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°57%
The average59°44°64%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.