Minority Report

Jayuya Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jayuya Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 84°   Low 70°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 89 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 33%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—71°10%
US model (GFS)83°68°16%
European model (ECMWF)83°69°99%
German model (ICON)82°70°28%
Canadian model (GEM)86°72°10%
The average84°70°33%

Friday, November 13

High 81°   Low 72°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 41%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service78°71°40%
US model (GFS)81°69°29%
European model (ECMWF)82°72°54%
German model (ICON)82°74°8%
Canadian model (GEM)81°72°72%
The average81°72°41%

Saturday, November 14

High 80°   Low 72°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°70°30%
US model (GFS)79°70°28%
European model (ECMWF)80°72°83%
German model (ICON)82°75°5%
Canadian model (GEM)81°73°86%
The average80°72°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 69°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service79°67°24%
US model (GFS)84°68°3%
European model (ECMWF)84°70°10%
German model (ICON)83°70°3%
Canadian model (GEM)82°68°6%
The average82°69°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.