Minority Report

Jefferson, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greene County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42° Low 29° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	—	23°	0%
US model (GFS)	42°	31°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	43°	35°	0%
German model (ICON)	43°	32°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	42°	26°	0%
The average	42°	29°	0%

Friday, November 13

High 40° Low 26° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	42°	20°	0%
US model (GFS)	38°	31°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	42°	28°	0%
German model (ICON)	40°	28°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	40°	21°	0%
The average	40°	26°	0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44° Low 24° Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	45°	23°	0%
US model (GFS)	45°	31°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	44°	26°	0%
German model (ICON)	44°	24°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	43°	16°	0%
The average	44°	24°	0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48° Low 25° Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source

Source	High	Low	Rain
National Weather Service	48°	27°	0%
US model (GFS)	48°	31°	0%
European model (ECMWF)	48°	26°	0%
German model (ICON)	49°	28°	0%
Canadian model (GEM)	45°	12°	0%
The average	48°	25°	0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.