Jefferson, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ashe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 50° Low 37° Rain 76%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 33% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 37° | 61% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 37° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 38° | 85% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 50° | 37° | 76% |
High 39° Low 32° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 29° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 33° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 33° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 39° | 32° | 57% |
High 36° Low 28° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 26° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 27° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 28° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 34° | 30° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 28° | 72% |
| The average | 36° | 28° | 25% |
High 43° Low 27° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 26° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 28° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 43° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.