Jefferson, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 76° Low 49° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 77° | 47° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 52° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 75° | 50° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 53° | 0% |
| The average | 76° | 49° | 0% |
High 64° Low 44° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 39° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 46° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 47° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 47° | 0% |
| The average | 64° | 44° | 0% |
High 60° Low 40° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 60° | 40° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 40° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 42° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 35° | 11% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 43° | 0% |
| The average | 60° | 40° | 7% |
High 53° Low 44° Rain 78%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 41° | 74% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 44° | 61% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 44° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 44° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 44° | 86% |
| The average | 53° | 44° | 78% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.