Minority Report

Jeffersonville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 56%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°17%
US model (GFS)56°40°44%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°92%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°71%
The average55°41°56%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 53 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 44%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°46%
US model (GFS)47°34°25%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°78%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°29%
The average47°36°44%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°5%
The average49°31°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°31°0%
US model (GFS)53°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°22°0%
The average51°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.