Minority Report

Jena, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of LaSalle Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)77°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°53°0%
German model (ICON)74°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°54°0%
The average76°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°39°0%
US model (GFS)62°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°0%
German model (ICON)62°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°46°0%
The average63°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°40°2%
US model (GFS)61°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°2%
German model (ICON)59°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°42°0%
The average59°39°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 64%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°42°65%
US model (GFS)65°43°50%
European model (ECMWF)57°44°82%
German model (ICON)54°44°64%
Canadian model (GEM)61°43°60%
The average60°43°64%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.