Minority Report

Jerseyville, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jersey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 7%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)47°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°10%
German model (ICON)48°33°8%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°19%
The average48°34°7%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°25°2%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°0%
German model (ICON)45°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average43°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°20°0%
The average47°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°30°0%
German model (ICON)53°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°17°0%
The average51°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.