Minority Report

Johnson City, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Blanco County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)73°53°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°50°0%
The average75°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°48°0%
US model (GFS)72°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°46°0%
The average75°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 67°   Low 52°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°53°58%
US model (GFS)66°50°43%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°85%
German model (ICON)61°52°55%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°46%
The average67°52°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 68°   Low 52°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 47% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°48°75%
US model (GFS)67°57°47%
European model (ECMWF)66°52°82%
German model (ICON)72°52°73%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°67%
The average68°52°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.