Johnstown, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fulton County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 42° Low 34° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 99% |
High 40° Low 30° Rain 93%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 26° | 67% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 98% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 27° | 100% |
| The average | 40° | 30° | 93% |
High 41° Low 31° Rain 12%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 29° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 31° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 30° | 29% |
| The average | 41° | 31° | 12% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 25° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 2% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.