Minority Report

Joliet, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Will County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 62 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 37%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°41%
US model (GFS)45°36°5%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°35%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°67%
The average45°35°37%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 25%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°43%
US model (GFS)41°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°14%
Canadian model (GEM)44°32°29%
The average43°32°25%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°0%
US model (GFS)46°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°23°10%
The average45°28°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.