Minority Report

Jonesboro, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 16 points, 3 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)58°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°16%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°10%
The average58°37°6%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°33°0%
The average46°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°27°0%
The average49°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°30°1%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average53°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.