Minority Report

Jonesboro, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°56°0%
The average75°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°38°1%
US model (GFS)61°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°46°0%
The average62°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 38°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°39°3%
US model (GFS)61°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°0%
German model (ICON)59°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°0%
The average59°38°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 70%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°69%
US model (GFS)63°42°59%
European model (ECMWF)53°45°83%
German model (ICON)49°42°73%
Canadian model (GEM)55°45°68%
The average56°43°70%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.