Minority Report

Jourdanton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Atascosa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—51°0%
US model (GFS)79°57°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°58°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average77°55°0%

Friday, November 13

High 76°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°53°0%
US model (GFS)76°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°52°0%
German model (ICON)76°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°47°0%
The average76°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 73°   Low 57°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 61%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°60°53%
US model (GFS)72°56°37%
European model (ECMWF)73°56°76%
German model (ICON)71°57°77%
Canadian model (GEM)79°54°61%
The average73°57°61%

Sunday, November 15

High 74°   Low 58°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 65%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°55°61%
US model (GFS)77°62°37%
European model (ECMWF)73°56°83%
German model (ICON)73°59°63%
Canadian model (GEM)75°59°82%
The average74°58°65%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.