Minority Report

Juana Díaz Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Juana Díaz Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 88°   Low 77°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 43%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°20%
US model (GFS)88°75°29%
European model (ECMWF)89°79°97%
German model (ICON)88°77°60%
Canadian model (GEM)89°76°10%
The average88°77°43%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 79°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 56%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°79°50%
US model (GFS)88°81°45%
European model (ECMWF)87°78°94%
German model (ICON)88°79°18%
Canadian model (GEM)86°77°72%
The average88°79°56%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 79°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°78°40%
US model (GFS)88°80°52%
European model (ECMWF)86°78°96%
German model (ICON)85°81°36%
Canadian model (GEM)84°79°86%
The average86°79°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 88°   Low 76°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°76°1%
US model (GFS)88°75°13%
European model (ECMWF)88°77°37%
German model (ICON)88°78°5%
Canadian model (GEM)85°76°6%
The average88°76°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.