Minority Report

Junction City, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Geary County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°30°0%
The average53°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°30°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°0%
The average47°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°6%
US model (GFS)50°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°22°7%
The average50°27°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°12%
US model (GFS)52°40°9%
European model (ECMWF)52°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°29%
The average52°33°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.