Minority Report

Junction, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kimble County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)73°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°52°0%
German model (ICON)73°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°47°0%
The average73°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°48°2%
US model (GFS)69°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°48°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°41°0%
The average72°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 52°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 52%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°53°40%
US model (GFS)66°50°27%
European model (ECMWF)68°53°90%
German model (ICON)64°54°74%
Canadian model (GEM)74°52°29%
The average68°52°52%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 52°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 46%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°44°33%
US model (GFS)73°58°29%
European model (ECMWF)69°52°69%
German model (ICON)73°54°45%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°53%
The average71°52°46%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.