Minority Report

Junction, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Piute County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°2%
US model (GFS)63°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°36°0%
German model (ICON)63°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°16°0%
The average62°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°38°94%
US model (GFS)58°37°42%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°73%
German model (ICON)57°35°50%
Canadian model (GEM)59°23°81%
The average57°34°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 98%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°94%
US model (GFS)43°29°94%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°100%
German model (ICON)45°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°23°100%
The average45°28°98%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°28°0%
German model (ICON)55°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°18°0%
The average53°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.