Minority Report

Juneau, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Juneau City and Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 37°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 81%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°36°19%
US model (GFS)42°35°100%
European model (ECMWF)41°36°100%
German model (ICON)43°39°88%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°100%
The average44°37°81%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°38°56%
US model (GFS)41°37°65%
European model (ECMWF)40°36°94%
German model (ICON)45°41°60%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°91%
The average43°38°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 39°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°37°52%
US model (GFS)42°36°80%
European model (ECMWF)43°39°94%
German model (ICON)46°42°86%
Canadian model (GEM)45°42°100%
The average44°39°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 39°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 82%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°40°80%
US model (GFS)41°36°64%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°95%
German model (ICON)47°44°85%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°86%
The average44°39°82%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.