Minority Report

Kadoka, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jackson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°1%
US model (GFS)40°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°0%
German model (ICON)41°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°0%
The average43°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°33°0%
US model (GFS)42°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average50°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°1%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°0%
German model (ICON)47°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°32°0%
The average50°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°38°1%
US model (GFS)59°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)62°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°39°0%
The average59°40°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.