Minority Report

Kalamazoo, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kalamazoo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 36°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°22%
US model (GFS)45°38°63%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°99%
German model (ICON)45°37°65%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°100%
The average45°36°70%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 58% against a group average of 33%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°8%
US model (GFS)38°32°29%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°45%
German model (ICON)40°31°58%
Canadian model (GEM)40°29°24%
The average40°30°33%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°5%
US model (GFS)43°32°4%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°2%
German model (ICON)47°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°0%
The average45°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°2%
US model (GFS)46°35°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)47°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°27°0%
The average46°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.